Consistently ranked as one of the top lodging markets in the United States, San Francisco is now one of the cities most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. From the 1849 Gold Rush to the present day, San Francisco has been known for its boom-and-bust economy, and a full recovery from the current downturn is expected, as in years past. This article explores recent lodging trends for San Francisco and offers a high-level perspective on the road to recovery.
Following waves of asset of appreciation, the pendulum has swung, and many hotels will be facing significant value declines in the current economic climate. As owners look for every way to reduce operating expenses, they should remain vigilant to pending fluctuations in real property assessment levels and proactive on appealing their assessments, if warranted.
With the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. in early to mid-March 2020, hotel owners and managers watched demand for their rooms suddenly evaporate. Since then, tough decisions have been made regarding whether to remain open or temporarily suspend operations. Hotels that have temporarily suspended operations now need to decide when to reopen. This article addresses the considerations to be weighed in this process and provides one example of the calculus for a hypothetical hotel.
The COVID-19 pandemic and the related restrictions on travel, business activity, and individual movement are having an unprecedented impact on our industry and economy. Hotel owners, operators, lenders, and investors are all facing greater challenges than ever anticipated, as they grapple with plummeting occupancy, average rate (ADR), and RevPAR and seek solutions to mitigate the impact on EBITDA.
Each year, HVS researches and compiles development costs from our database of actual hotel construction budgets. This source now provides the basis for our illustrated total development costs per room/per product type.
Hotel stakeholders shared a diversity of insights into U.S. hotel industry trends during the lifecycle of a hotel, including development, conversion/repositioning, and disposition.
Hotel assets continued to appreciate in 2016, but at a more modest pace due to slowing RevPAR growth and a rise in cap rates. The stock market rally following the election has led to cautious optimism about what 2017 will bring.
Each year, HVS researches development costs from our database of actual hotel construction budgets, industry reports, and franchise disclosure documents. These sources provide the basis for our range of component costs per room.
ALIS presentation featured in the "Numbers" panel discussion on January 28, 2014, provides a recap of national market activity in 2013, covers current/recent cap rates, examines cap ex impacts on hotel cap rates/values, and gives an outlook for 2014.
Hotel capitalization rates are stabilizing due to the counter balancing forces of a healthy transaction
market, a shortage of product for sale, the low cost of capital and the slowing of net income gains.